Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 37.348928 42.897400 48.885033 55.814173 63.598766 72.060834 81.941843
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 28.321690 36.169677 45.434604 57.115496 71.379510 88.157199 109.304841
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 21.035216 29.338778 39.891153 54.144534 72.732619 95.971873 127.017874
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 17.828016 26.726910 38.732079 55.864599 79.391280 110.226833 153.291608
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 15.858591 25.305244 38.718728 58.772339 87.523141 126.702310 183.440072
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 13.185541 22.367355 36.070186 57.492709 89.489703 134.718509 202.467392
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 10.771695 19.393954 32.895284 54.922780 89.120165 139.142689 216.455910
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 10.083903 19.053139 33.651291 58.291167 97.728417 156.980626 250.812812
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.797938 19.325234 35.370987 63.273284 109.132866 179.646700 293.669884
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.800613 18.191294 34.604533 64.075650 113.905560 192.427437 322.228505
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.800269 16.895433 33.387249 63.947132 117.065086 202.781119 347.513065
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.864335 15.575907 31.956171 63.260730 119.154203 211.443322 370.483009
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.121910 14.578766 31.087015 63.648446 123.393572 224.353816 401.932244
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.478569 13.696708 30.350954 64.244913 128.126192 238.547360 436.668142
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.505173 11.924763 27.631064 60.772251 125.183964 239.426096 449.066582
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.168993 11.534868 27.660393 62.638838 132.223905 258.059198 492.900697
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.979203 11.458556 28.333152 65.847084 142.030002 282.168360 547.596209
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.449758 10.448033 26.845110 64.430078 142.727922 289.813433 573.488073
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.896916 9.264653 24.800239 61.586424 140.306951 291.475727 588.578905
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.825287 9.361848 25.732234 65.312700 151.478238 319.272297 653.010544
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.855607 9.749582 27.398398 70.819765 166.703771 355.595812 735.018058
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.621641 9.333819 27.051144 71.706198 172.271891 373.560671 783.377389
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.360477 8.785089 26.297792 71.564222 175.609104 387.311365 824.362581